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# \$5.80Bus 515 Chapter 9 pr. 8:The owners of Sweet-Tooth Bakery have determined that they need to exp

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The owners of Sweet-Tooth Bakery have determined that they need to expand their facility in order to meet their increased demand for baked goods. The decision is whether to expand now with a large facility or expand small with the possibility of having to expand again in five years. The owners have estimated the following chances for demand:

• The likelihood of demand being high is 0.70;
• The likelihood of demand being low is 0.30.

Profits for each alternative have been estimated as follows:
• Large expansion has an estimated profitability of either \$80,000 or \$50,000, depending on whether demand turns out to be high or low;
• Small expansion has a profitability of \$40,000, assuming demand is low;
• Small expansion with an occurrence of high demand would require considering whether to expand further. If the bakery expands at this point, the profitability is to be \$50,000.

Draw a decision tree showing the decisions, chance events, and their probabilities, as well as the profitability of outcomes and solve the decision tree

Decide what the bakery should do.

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\$5.80
Bus 515 Chapter 9 pr. 8:The owners of Sweet-Tooth Bakery have determined that they need to exp
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• Posted on May 07, 2012 at 2:32:25PM
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Preview: ... urns out to be high or low; Small expansion has a profitability of \$40,000, assuming demand is low; Small expansion with an occurrence of high demand would require considering whether to expand further. If the bakery expan ...

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Chapter 09 PR 8.docx (38K) (Preview)